This week’s Orchard Outlook shows varieties measuring approximately 7 mm to 10 mm king fruit diameter that signals the window for fruitlet thinning in some regions. Warm temperatures will promote thinning activity. Be mindful of the fire blight risk on open blossoms in this heat as well. Note that blossom blight infections resulting from the May 20 infection event may be visible within the next week. This newsletter also covers more about fruit set than you probably ever wanted to read and offers considerations for chemical thinning programs. Many thanks to the Orchard Outlook Committee for their continued contributions.
Table of Contents:
- 2026 Degree Day Accumulations
- Apple Buds
- Pear and Stone Fruit Buds
- Apple - Scab
- Apple - Powdery Mildew
- Fire Blight Prevention and Shoot Blight Management
- Apple and Pear - Fire Blight Blossom Blight
- Apple - Black Rot
- Tree Decline
- Suckers
- Grafting
- Mowing
- Root Pruning
- Pruning and Training
- Weed Management
- Nursery Trees
- Cover Crops
Weather
2026 Degree Day Accumulations
The cumulative degree days remain between the 5- and 10-year averages and behind last year (Figure 1). The last 5 years have been some of the warmest on record so development is still ahead of where it has been historically.
Figure 1: Heating degree day accumulations for plant (above 5°C) and insect (above 10°C) development from March 1 to June 8 for the past 17 seasons. Provided by Harrison Wright (AAFC Plant Physiology).
- Approximately 5% less plant development heat units compared to the 5-year average, and 4% more compared to the 10-year average.
- Approximately 10% less plant development heat units compared to 2025, and 6% less compared with 2024.
- Approximately 10% less insect development heat units compared to the 5-year average, and 2% more compared to the 10-year average.
Bud Development
Apple Buds
An early region on Middle Dyke Road in the Kentville area is monitored to guide this newsletter. Yesterday on Monday the average diameter of ten king fruitlets on Idared was 9.8 mm, Honeycrisp was 8.5 mm, and Ambrosia was 6.5 mm (Figure 2). In South Berwick at a thinning trial, the Honeycrisp measured 7.4 mm and Gala 6.5 mm.Figure 2: Bud development in an early region on Middle Dyke Road in Kentville on June 8. Shown from left to right: Idared 9.8 mm, Honeycrisp 8.5 mm, and Ambrosia 6.5 mm.
Current measurements of terminal shoots indicate that Idared averages 15 cm (+3 cm), Honeycrisp 11 cm (+4 cm), and Ambrosia 10 cm (+4 cm) (Figure 3). Idared now has 7 fully expanded leaves (+1 leaf), Honeycrisp 6 fully expanded leaves (+1 leaf), and Ambrosia 5 fully expanded leaves.
Figure 3: Terminal shoot growth in an early region in Greenwich on June 8. Shown from left to right: Idared 15 cm, Honeycrisp 11 cm, and Ambrosia 10 cm.
Pear and Stone Fruit Buds
Diseases
Apple – Scab
Table 1: Apple scab infection events in Kentville from June 3 to June 9, based on the Modified Mills Table. (Note - I corrected the cumulative ascospore maturity in the table on June 9 at 8:21 PM.)
- For a high inoculum orchard, a significant number of spores can be released during darkness, so begin calculating leaf wetting regardless of the time of day when the wetting event started. An orchard is considered to have a high inoculum load if last season it had 100 or more scabby leaves observed over 600 shoots.
-Assuming a green tip date of April 19. Please use this as a guide because microclimates will cause conditions to vary on individual farms.
Note: The environmental conditions for an infection are listed in the Modified Mills Table.
-Assuming a green tip date of April 19. Please use this as a guide because microclimates will cause conditions to vary on individual farms.
Note: The environmental conditions for an infection are listed in the Modified Mills Table.
Recommendations:
- According to the model, total seasonal ascospores will mature to 100% on Wednesday, June 10 and then a wetting event would need to occur to release the final primary spores. Models are not completely accurate so wait 2 weeks after ascospores are depleted and continue to stay protected on 5-7 day intervals. This also allows time for symptom development and assessment of recent primary apple scab infections. But there is now a light at the end of the tunnel!
- Fungicide options can be limited this time of year... so let's review some options:
- Captan may be used as long as it is not applied within 7-14 days of an oil such as Agral 90 (worse if applied after oil that preconditions leaves). The REI for hand thinning fruit in high-density systems is 15 days and in low-density systems it is 24 days. The product has activity on summer diseases and is ideal. For high density, do not use more than 10 applications per year and for low density do not use more than 2 applications per year.
- Remember, if using SHARDA CAPTAN 48 the rate equivalent to other captan products is 5 L/ha (2.4 kg of active ingredient).
- Allegro/Vantana/Downforce may be applied as long as oil has not been applied within 3 days (including Fontelis and Agral 90). The REI is short at 24 hrs.
- Migiwa is registered for scab control and it has a short REI of 12 hours. Just be sure to use the high rate of 220 mL/ha so that the powdery mildew that is present isn't exposed to a sublethal dose at the low rate. We want to preserve this product efficacy for powdery mildew.
- Do not apply: Folpan/Follow and Syllit should NOT be applied between tight cluster and 30 days after petal fall to avoid fruit russeting.
- Buran may be considered. But remember that the product is registered for only suppression of apple scab and must be used post-infection only. Summer disease control is not likely strong.
- Note that single site products in group 3 are not expected to provide control of apple scab due to resistance. For other products, check the label for rates required for apple scab control because for Luna Tranquility the high rate is needed unless it is tank mixed with another product for scab control.
- Several of the single site products do not have activity on scab after petal fall (fruit scab). Such products include Fullback, Nova, Cevya, Aprovia, Sercadis, Excalia, Scala, and Vangard.
Apple – Powdery Mildew
Powdery mildew infections can be expected when conditions are warm (10-25°C), humid and dry.
Recommendations:
- Infections are possible during this week's warm and dry weather.
- Remember to treat young plantings because severe infections can reduce shoot growth, which is most concerning for young, non-bearing orchards.
- Pay particular attention to susceptible and high-value varieties such as Honeycrisp and Gala.
- Do not use any products with powdery mildew activity more than two times consecutively to avoid resistance development.
Fire Blight Prevention and Shoot Blight Management
Recommendations:
- If a blossom blight infection occurred on May 20, the symptoms are not yet visible but might be visible soon. The Maryblyt model gives rough guidance and says the infections are 70% progressed by end of today. The model roughly estimates symptoms may become visible around Friday, June 12. Usually we see the symptoms at about 3 weeks after infection, beginning around mid-June.
- Pruning practices should be done on dry and sunny days, especially in high risk blocks. Wounds can take about 2 days to heal. Do not work in trees when they are wet from dew.
- Even if bacterial EIP populations are low, do not pinch flowers on young trees when tissues are wet. Pinching causes open wounds like a trauma event and bacteria are transported from cankers to wounds in wet weather.
- Apogee/Kudos (prohexadione calcium) suppress shoot blight.
- Please note that the product Apogee is discontinued by BASF. Kudos is another product with the same active ingredient and will remain available.
- A second application is made around 14-21 days later. Successive applications ensure no gap in activity until you can assess blossom blight infection pressure.
- When Apogee/Kudos are applied after 10 cm of new shoot growth, the vegetative growth reduction is less but the product will still slow fire blight progression.
- The product is not systemic so good coverage with high water volume is required.
- Include Agral 90 at 500 mL per 1000 L of water. Do not exceed this amount of surfactant. If applying Agral 90 there may be a risk of burn if using Captan.
- Apogee should also be applied with spray grade ammonium sulphate (AMS) in an equal 1:1 ratio with the amount of Apogee used (e.g. 500 g Apogee = 500 g or 0.5 L of ammonium sulphate). This is not the blossom thinning product ammonium thiosulphate (ATS)!
- Use low rates on young apple trees to avoid delaying growth too much.
Apple and Pear – Fire Blight Blossom Blight
Bacteria multiply rapidly in warm temperatures, especially when occurring over consecutive days. The Maryblyt model criteria is used to predict blossom blight infections. Periods with high fire blight bacterial populations are defined by Maryblyt as having an Epiphytic Infection Potential (EIP) greater than 100 - representing 100% of the bacteria load needed to cause infection.
Blossom Blight Risk
- Bacterial growth on open flowers is increasing to near or above-threshold values in the current heat. The risk is forecast to be high throughout this week. Refer to the blossom blight alert email from this morning for more details.
Recommendations:
- Do not spray high water volume on trees in bloom unless an antibiotic has been applied.
- Do not underestimate the risk of infections on late flowers. By the time of late flowers there is already plenty of bacteria established throughout the environment.
- If you would like to join the alert contact list, please let me know or sign up online.
- Ideally, you will monitor your own farm-specific situation with PomeBlight using a selected weather station. The user account and PomeBlight tool are free. Follow my 17-minute Quickstart video or Quickstart PDF document.
- Contact me if you have ANY questions!
Apple – Black Rot
Recommendations:
- Based on our limited knowledge, the highest risk of infections is theoretically between petal fall and 4-6 weeks later.
- A 10 hr wetting period at 16°C to 32°C allows infection.
- The optimum temperature for infection is 20°C to 24°C.
- There are few management options to cover such a long risk period. Captan has activity but note the REI for orchard activities. Merivon has activity but this group 7 + 11 product should not be used more than 4 times each year. Folpan has activity but should not be applied until 30 days after petal fall to avoid russet. We do not have a model for black rot infection but protection would need to be targeted prior to wetting and ideal weather conditions.
- The fruit cuticle is sensitive to damage at this stage. Be cautious with spray mixtures (calcium, foliar nutrients) that could create an entry point for the pathogen.
Insects
Apple - Postbloom Insects
Choose post-bloom insecticides according to the pest complex on your scouting report. Insects might include the caterpillar complex, stinging bugs (mullein bug), white apple leafhopper, green and rosy apple aphids, and curculio.Refer to the Apple Efficacy Guide for product selection. You may begin by determining the product and rate for your most difficult to control pest and then note the other pests that will be managed by your product selection and whether or not additional products are required. Take note of the higher rate required for some pests.
Recommendations:
- Stinging bugs are checked using limb tap samples when the nymphs are very small. As of Sunday, Erika Bent (APM) says stinging bugs were small and there are more to come. Stay tuned with updates directly from Erika.
- A variety of leafrollers may be present in curled leaves where there are signs of chewing activity. A product like Intrepid can be a good option for control.
- Leafhoppers feed on the underside of leaves and they will move forward or backward. Leafhopper nymphs are found on cluster leaves close to the main trunk or large branches, not on terminal shoots. Leafhoppers are often controlled by Sevin insecticide when used as a thinner. Monitor non-bearing plantings for leafhopper if they have not been treated with Sevin. Also keep this in mind if you plan to use Brevis instead of a usual Sevin. If treatment is required, a neonicotinoid, Sivanto Prime, or Exirel would control leafhopper.
- Monitor for aphids in young trees and nursery plantings where feeding can disrupt shoot growth. If leaves are curling high water volumes are needed for effectiveness. Green aphids are starting to become obvious on terminal shoots.
- Codling moth flight occurs when nighttime temperatures are above 10°C. Erika Bent provides a biofix date for the industry based on several regions and the date has not yet been determined. Setting biofix is usually challenging in a year with fluctuating temperatures. We will report when the biofix date is determined to provide some treatment timing recommendations.
Pear - Postbloom Insects
- If you are planning to use Agri-Mek + Oil for pear psylla control, it is best to apply it at petal fall or ideally within 2 weeks. Agri-Mek has better residual control when applied to young tissues because of rapid penetration into leaves.
- Do not apply Agri-Mek with any bloom around as this product is highly toxic to bees.
- Do not use Captan/Maestro as a fungicide for pear scab within 14 days of Agri-Mek + Oil.
- Do not use MaxCel in close proximity to AgriMek because the oil will increase thinning activity.
- Minecto Pro (Abamectin and Cyantraniliprole) is registered for control of pear psylla with the same recommended application time.
- Pear rust mite: Pear rust mite can go unnoticed until heavy russeting extending from the base to the top of the fruit. Growers that apply Agri-mek for pear psylla control would also obtain pear rust mite control. Nexter or Envidor would be other options for pear rust mite control.
Thinning
Apple Fruit Set
Assessing fruit set is a challenge every year. I'd like to try to address this year's main concerns: 1) variable flowering and pollination and 2) unpredictable bud strength.
1) Variable flowering and pollination
- Influenced by cold weather during pollination that extended the effective pollination period. There are concerns that there wasn't enough bee activity for good set or alternatively the long exposure to pollination could result in heavy set.
- Fruit on 1-year-old wood is excessive and developmentally behind the rest of the tree.
- Missing kings make the lateral flowers stronger.
I'm seeing what you're seeing too, within-tree variability that is driven by differences in bloom timing among clusters. However, remember that variable fruit size happens to a certain degree every year. To show the variability in typical fruit size range, I graphed measurements from 50-fruit samples that I've taken in different situations over the past few years (Figure 5 and 6). This year, the king fruit size on Honeycrisp ranges by 5 mm and Gala ranges by 4 mm. According to the measurements, the range of king fruit size is relatively normal this year.
However, when I measure average fruit size I want to avoid fruit that were not fertilized because they could skew the average fruit size measurement. Some fruit were so small I couldn't tell if they were viable. By avoiding the clusters that flowered late I probably didn't pick up on the true variability in fruit size that we are seeing this year. At least when I measured fruit size it was representative of the fruitlets susceptible to thinning, and likely disregarded the one-year-old wood and rattail bloom that will always be the smallest.
Also, my samples are at chest height on the trees so they don't represent the variability from tree bottoms to tops. So our takeaways from these graphs are limited, but the range of average king fruit size measurements are relatively similar to what they have been in recent years.
The range of king fruit size widens as we approach later stages around 15 to 20 mm, and my theory is that the range unintentionally includes the lag in fruit growth of dying fruitlets.
Figure 5: The individual diameter of 50 king fruit measured on each date throughout various Honeycrisp plantings over the years. Altogether, the 50 samples on each date represent the range of king fruit size. This year's sample is circled in green.
Figure 6: The individual diameter of 50 king fruit measured on each date throughout various Gala plantings over the years. Altogether, the 50 samples on each date represent the range of king fruit size. This year's sample is circled in green.
2) Unpredictable bud strength
Tree reserves influence bud health, not fruit set directly. Where trees appear healthy I'm inclined to think there is a good potential for fruit set. Research would suggest that in the year following a drought, the June drop depends largely on weather during the thinning window, like business as usual.I've seen and heard of many situations with heavy fruit set on gala (Figure 8). Last year the protracted bloom on Gala made it hard to thin with a single thinner application and this year looks similar.
Figure 7: Honeycrisp fruit set is variable but has quite a few fruit when you consider the unusually high number per cluster.
Figure 8: The fruit set appears heavy after the protracted bloom, similar to last year.
Apple Fruitlet Thinning
The timing of chemical thinning is based on the average size of the king fruitlet. The size of the side fruitlets is irrelevant for treatment timing. After petal fall, fruitlets typically grow about 1 mm each day in average temperatures. Chemical thinning occurs when king fruit are 5 to 18 mm in diameter and is most effective from 7-12 mm.Weather Considerations
- The optimal temperature for thinner activity is between 21-24°C – cool causes less thinning and heat causes more thinning.
- The danger zone is when temperatures will exceed 29°C.
- This week temperatures are hovering near 29°C and will contribute thinning activity. This is good if you usually struggle to get enough thinning and could be risky if you are normally close to overthinning.
- The carbohydrate model suggests little effect of the carbohydrate status but additional thinning promoted by the warm temperatures.
Conclusions
- If your standard program works well in the heat, then continue as usual. It's likely that your program under-thins in cool weather and you will get the boost of thinning activity you expect this year.
- If your standard program over-thins in heat, then reduce the rates. It's likely that your program is aggressive and thins even in cooler weather.
Product Recommendations:
- It is best to apply MaxCel or Cilis Plus in warm weather (at least above 18°C).
- On varieties like Gala that are hard to thin, consider two applications separated by a few days.
- Local research with Brevis suggests:
- The early timing is most effective (8-10 mm).
- On Honeycrisp, at 8-10 mm, the maximum rate of 2.2 L/ha can cause overthinning. Use low to moderate rates on Honeycrisp depending on the weather. When fruit size is >13 mm, increase rates.
- On Gala, the lowest rate is not effective even in high temperatures. Use moderate to high rates during 8-10 mm. Brevis is not a silver bullet so keep in mind for hard-to-thin varieties like Gala that a nibble thinning approach might be required (especially because of protracted bloom).
- Note that the PHI for Sevin is 75 days and this may be challenging for early varieties like Paula Red. The REI is 0.5-17 days depending on the activity.
- When using Sevin in high density orchard do not exceed 3.22 L of product/ha/year. In low density orchard do not exceed 2.15 L of product/ha/year. Sevin is a thinner but it is also an insecticide and care should be taken to avoid contact with bees.
- Research has demonstrated that there is a recommended crop load associated with trunk diameters of apple trees in high density systems that are under eight years old. Our ideal crop load for Honeycrisp based on local research is 6 fruit/cm². Our ideal crop load for Gala is 6 fruit/cm² or if you would like larger fruit then 4 fruit/cm². Refer to Table 2 to see how the recommended crop load relates to tree trunk diameter measured about 10 cm above the graft union.
- Have a block with trees on and off? Thin according to trees with the heaviest fruit set. Trees with less flowers are less likely to thin anyway because holding onto well-supplied fruitlets.
- Varieties prone to biennial bearing that had a low crop load last year should be thinned adequately and early enough this year to enable bud initiation (for Honeycrisp this is within 45 days after bloom).
Table 3: The recommended crop load for young high density apple trees based on trunk diameter. Honeycrisp and Gala trees can have 6 fruit/cm² or if you would like larger Gala fruit then 4 fruit/cm². For the chosen column, note how many fruit can be cropped based on trunk diameter. For example, at 6 fruit/cm² , a Honeycrisp tree with a 2" trunk diameter would have 122 fruit.
Defruiting Young Trees
- Some of the fruit on young trees can be removed using a combination of Sevin XLR at 2.5 L plus Maxcel/Cilis Plus at 5.0 L per 1000 L of water applied using dilute nozzles to the point of drip. A few litres of oil (10.6 L/1000 L water) can also be added as a spreader sticker to this combination unless the variety is sensitive to oil (avoid Gala, Ambrosia, Golden Delicious, Red Delicious).
- This mixture should cover more than an acre of young trees.
- Apply from petal fall until 8-10 mm. A second application can be done before 18 mm if additional thinning is needed. A second application will likely still miss some fruit so consider the economics if hand thinning may still be required anyway.
- Choosing to use Fruitone (NAA) in this mixture instead of MaxCel/Cilis Plus will likely result in chemical pinch at the terminal bud that stunts growth.
Pear Fruitlet Thinning
- The Maxcel and Cilis Plus thinning window is 8-14 mm and early treatments are most effective.
- Brevis is a new thinner that is registered for use from late petal fall until 16-18 mm. The registrant recommends using Brevis on pears at the low rate and at the later timing of 12-14 mm.
- Avoid applying to trees less than 4 years old.
- Do not add any adjuvants that increase droplet spreading or penetration.
- Do not spray on wet leaves.
- Apply when air temperatures are between 10°C and 29°C and delay application if temperature will exceed 29°C within five days of application.
- Avoid drift to plum and cherry trees.
Horticulture
Tree Decline
- So far decline has been reported on Gravenstein G.41, Gravenstein B.9, Honeycrisp G.41, and Honeycrisp G.11.
- The causes are being explored and most likely relate to extreme environmental conditions in recent history. Trees with root systems or graft unions that were already weakened are particularly susceptible.
- Please report to Michelle if you have tree collapse to help us discern patterns and develop best practices for our local region.
Suckers
- Remove woody suckers by cutting or ripping to avoid resource competition, the risk of systemic herbicide uptake, harbouring pests like fire blight shoot blight.
- If suckers are more prevalent because of exposed roots due to frost heaving, try to hill the soil to cover the roots.
Mowing
- Keeping the orchard floor cover mowed pre-bloom will minimize dandelion flowers that attract bees, which increases the safety of post-bloom insecticide applications.
Pruning and Training
- Select strong terminals on young trees and remove competing terminals to single the tops if there are no re-entry intervals active and before the shoots get woody.
- Ensure that deer fencing is installed as soon as possible to protect new growth on young trees.
- Newly planted trees should be pruned for tree structure and supported as early as possible after planting. Prioritize trees that are known to be brittle at the union, including many of the new Geneva rootstocks (G.11, G.41, G.16 etc).
Weed Management
- The status of witch grass and common groundsel are shown in Figure 9.
- When burndown products are needed, consider that Reglone works in cool and cloudy conditions whereas Ignite requires warm and sunny conditions. Also, applying Ignite when leaves are wet is ineffective.
- In young plantings, weed control is essential. Local research showed that by year 4, a weedy planting was 39% the trunk cross sectional area of a hoed comparison.
- The following residual herbicides can persist longer than usual in extreme circumstances like drought: Authority, Chateau, and Alion.
Figure 9: Weed escapes from an early season burndown and residual herbicide application likely from seeds that hid beneath organic matter and were not uniformly contacted by the herbicide. Witch grass (left) distinguished by the hairy stem, hairy leaf sheath margin, hairy ligule, and hair on both sides of the leaf blade - yes, it's hairy! Common groundsel (right) with young leaves that are oval with wavy toothed margins. Photos taken on June 5, 2026.
Nursery Trees
- Treat for tarnished plant bug and green aphids.
- Remove rootstock leaves when they are tender and before shoots become woody. Single and tie tops.
- For bench grafts, leave some shoots on the rootstock to feed the scion as the callus tissue develops. Locally, rootstock leaves have been stripped when the scion has 8-10 leaves. Early in the season, leave at least an extra scion leader for insurance.
- Remember the importance of weed control in nurseries. Management practices now will impact the outcome of the final tree. Encourage the growing point to be successful!
Cover Crops
- Perennia has a series of videos about cover crops that can be accessed from our website.
- Summer grasses such as pearl millet and sorghum-sudangrass that have been a popular choice can be planted from mid-June until early August.
Pest Management Guide
We offer printable PDFs of the guides from our website:
Online pest guides are also available without login (https://www.perennia.ca/pest-guides/) and with login on your Perennia account (https://www.farmdatatools.perennia.ca/). Using the online tool you can filter for organic and conventional options, search for key information, and sort based on information of interest.
This Orchard Outlook has been published with the input of the Orchard Outlook Committee including this week's participants: Harrison Wright, Danny Davison, Larry Lutz, Joan Hebb, Ian Willick, Mathew Vankoughnett, Bob Prange, and Heather Rand.
Written by Michelle Cortens, Tree Fruit Specialist
Perennia Food and Agriculture Corp.
Perennia Food and Agriculture Corp.

















